Forecast discussion yard AFD
Next 72 hours — temperature PropertyCast vs models
Next 72 hours — precipitation blend
Chance of precipitation
Amount per hour
Aurora planner SWPC Kp × cloud cover
Frost odds — next 3 nights from verified error history · cover when odds beat each crop's cost/loss
Watering call ET0 deficit × ensemble rain odds
Insect timing degree days
Soil temperature learned from your probe
Growing degree days since Apr 1
Your yard's frost dates 40+ yr reanalysis × your offset
Harvest & bloom ETAs learned from your journal
Model skill 30-day · 6–24 h lead
Which PropertyCast you see v2 must beat v1 · Diebold-Mariano, 30 d
Reliability diagrams forecast % vs how often it happened · on the diagonal = honest odds
Probability scorecard are the odds honest?
Station health neighbor consensus QC
Monthly verification month to date
Data sources feed health at publish time
Wind shelter by direction forecast wind minus your station, by forecast direction · 6–24 h
Observed — last 7 days temp / dewpoint